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12 March 2026, Nairobi, Kenya

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KENYA: Phases of the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Summary

Photo Credits: KENYA-Phases-of-the-COVID-19-Pandemic-A-Summary
Content by HORN Institute
Published March 12, 2026

THE COVID-19 PHASES IN KENYA
PHASE 1: Latent Phase
• COVID-19 still out of the country. Still a distant threat.
• Additional measures, mostly public health and surveillance at border entry points, are
taken to ensure COVID-19 does not enter the country.
PHASE 2: Germinal Phase
• COVID-19 enters the country. 1st know case is identified, quarantined, isolated and treated
• Those infected by 1st known case identified, tracked, quarantined and tested.
• A few more individuals carrying COVID-19 jet in. Spreads in few locations as they travel
home or check-in hotels as tourists. Initial containment measures instituted.
PHASE 3: Incipient Phase
• COVID-19 Virus spreads to specific localities within a country such as Nairobi, Mombasa,
and Kisumu. More cases identified.
• Tracing and isolation of contacts using all available tools including phone and credit card
records of locations.
• Stricter measures are put in place, with partial lock-down, dusk to dawn curfews.
• Mandatory quarantine required for travelers from outside country. Non-essential services
are disrupted.

The HORN International Institute for Strategic Studies is a non-profit, applied research and policy think-do tank focusing on research and providing evidence-based analysis and strategic interventions to address political, security, economic, and environmental challenges affecting the greater Horn of Africa region.

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