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Nine Strategic Programs Designed to Analyse, Influence and Shape the Future of the Horn of Africa

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Nine Strategic Programs Designed to Analyse, Influence and Shape the Future of the Horn of Africa

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Centre for Climate, Migration & Development

Advancing strategic thinking on climate change, migration, and development — conducting multi-disciplinary analysis of environmental shocks, human mobility, and socio-economic vulnerability to strengthen the region’s climate resilience.

ABOUT THE CENTER

The Centre for Climate Change, Migration, and Development at HORN International Institute for Strategic Studies focuses on advancing strategic thinking on the intersectionality between climate change, migration, and development in the Horn of Africa.

It conducts multidisciplinary analysis of environmental shocks, human mobility, and socio-economic vulnerability, contributing to stronger climate resilience through high-quality research and policy-relevant recommendations. Its outputs include bulletins, policy briefs, and books, alongside workshops, seminars, conferences, roundtable discussions, and consultative forums. The Centre also serves as a platform for in-house expertise, bringing together scholars and practitioners working on climate change, migration, and development in the region.

The Horn of Africa sits at the intersection of climate vulnerability and forced displacement, making it one of the most complex humanitarian theatres in the world. Recurrent droughts, erratic rainfall, and flooding have devastated pastoralist and agrarian communities across Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia, and South Sudan, generating large-scale internal displacement and cross-border refugee flows. At the same time, as illustrated by the Horn Institute’s analysis of refugee protection at Nyarugusu Camp in Tanzania, displacement dynamics extend well beyond the Horn’s core countries into the Great Lakes region. The Centre examines these interconnected pressures, supported by its Climate Adaptation and Security Program (CAS), which focuses on building the analytical and policy frameworks necessary for Horn of Africa nations to respond to climate-driven insecurity

STRATEGIC CONTEXT

The Horn of Africa is among the world’s most vulnerable regions to climate shocks. Consecutive years of historic droughts followed by devastating floods have decimated pastoralist and agrarian livelihoods. This ecological collapse accelerates resource competition and triggers mass displacement, stalling developmental progress

EXPANDED RESEARCH DOMAINS

Climate-Security Nexus

Mapping the direct correlation between ecological stress and the outbreak of resource-based violence over water and grazing lands

Climate-Induced Forced Migration

Analyzing the socio-economic impact of IDPs and climate refugees on urban infrastructure and host communities

Food and Water Security

Evaluating systemic vulnerabilities in regional food supply chains and the geopolitical implications of water scarcity

Climate Finance and Adaptation Strategies

Researching pathways for Horn nations to access global adaptation funds and build resilient economic models

METHODOLOGICAL APPROACH & POLICY IMPACT

The Center publishes research through bulletins, policy briefs, and books; and holds workshops, seminars, conferences, roundtable discussions, and consultative meetings. Through the Climate Adaptation and Security Program (CAS), the Center provides direct analytical and policy support to national governments, development agencies, and humanitarian organizations responding to climate-driven insecurity

FEATURED ANALYSIS

PUBLICATIONS FROM THIS CENTER

Edited by: Jan Záhořík, Roselyne Omondi & Aleksi Ylönen

Multiple Layers of Migration and the Horn of Africa